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Is it possible to predict a decline in a Country’s Fortunes? Bohani Shivambu writes

   It was in 2004, on a sweltering night in Kinshasa, the capital of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). We were sitting in one of the only two good hotels that had survived the destruction of war when Kabila senior led his troops in the march to Kinshasa and the neglect of many years under Mobuto Sese Seko. We were reflecting on the future of Africa, dreaming of the day when the DRC would rise, leaving the pain of dictatorship, war, killing and plunder behind. How it would lift the East, South, Central Africa and the entire continent.

Rich Congo

It is vast, beautiful and naturally endowed. Its water is teeming with fish, and torrential rains fuel the thick forests that give rise to massive logs, powering the European and Chinese economies. Its rich soils and ample rains allow almost anything dropped on the ground to grow. Its belly has abundant deposits of copper, gold, diamonds, cobalt, uranium, coltan and oil, the wealth that was to be its curse.

Mbeki’s African Renaissance

These were the days of president Thabo Mbeki of South Africa. His African Renaissance vision saw him go to all the corners of the world, preaching a social democratic form of governance to his African compatriots, whilst seeking to convince the rest of the world that Africa was changing, there would be no more wars, there would be regular elections that reflected the will of its people, there would be the reconstruction of its social and economic life and the rule of law.

The president was leading a government and business delegation to the DRC. All aspects of development were being explored, from the population registration and identification system to rebuilding the Public Administration System, Central Bank, Police and defence. 

Naturally, the discussions and brainstorming went beyond formal meetings. It was daunting but fascinating to embrace the continent and its challenges. It was Pan-Africanism in practice. The hosts appreciated the South African assistance, and they showed it. South African and Congolese government officials spent endless hours in working sessions and socialised together. It was a proud moment to be South African and, more importantly, African.

South African Exceptionalism

One of the hotel patrons joined us. He was attracted by a captivating discussion, I assumed. He quickly enquired whether we were not South Africans, which we quickly affirmed. He was well-built, dark and well-dressed in his smart casual wear. He looked expensive in every respect. It was clear that he was not a civil servant. His accent was unmistakably Nigerian. After we confirmed that we were South Africans, he launched quickly and heavily: “ You South Africans have this naïve exceptionalism. You believe that somehow you are not part of Africa. You think that the problems of the north will not affect you. You are Africans like all of us in the north. The problems of the north are coming down south”.

I immediately sensed an attack on us and our integrity as a country. I interjected. “What problems”. He replied: “The problems of corruption, stealing, incompetence and failure of the state”. I could not wait for him to finish. “Your problem is to assume that because you ran down your country, everyone else will”. The atmosphere was rising dramatically, and he had to calm things down and make me understand his argument better. He told us that he was Nigerian, born and bred on the continent. He was a businessman in the oil industry. He said: “Don’t get me wrong. I am an African. But I live in London and New York. I am here for my deals, and when I am done, I leave. Africa is a tough place to live in ”.

Problems of the North Coming Down South

“You will know that the problems of the north have come down south when every house resembles a small local government”, he said. “You will have to supply your own water with boreholes and tanks, supply your own electricity with solar panels on your roof and generators, and collect your own refuse. “Every house has to own a pick-up truck for refuse”.  I was furious. I thought he had a very jaundiced view of Africans, born from his peculiar experience. He had no right to extrapolate like that because his experience could not possibly be applicable across Africa.

We left Kinshasa in the early evening on our departure date, making us fly over Southern Africa at night. In a four-hour flight,t there would be a smattering of lights on the ground, interspersed with long distances of darkness. When we crossed the Limpopo River, there was almost a long continuous field of light, culminating in nearly the daylight brightness of Gauteng. These lights seemed to confirm how wrong our Nigerian compatriot was until November 2007, when we hit our first Eskom load shedding. President Mbeki came forward and apologised: "we were wrong". Eskom was right”, about the increased demand, for electricity and the government’s failure to heed the call. 

Companies and families can afford to spend a small fortune on solar panels and electric power generators. Potholes seem to be growing bigger, just to laugh at me and my arrogance laced with ignorance. When I go home from Johannesburg, I see a sea of Jojo water tanks from Elim to Giyani. Donkey carts line the streets with donkeys buckling under the weight of water drums, oblivious of the R3,3 billion just spent to relieve their pain. Newspaper headlines scream “CORRUPTION” every weekend as they proclaim the latest scoop, and television screens give voice to the complainants as their faces bear testimony to this vice.

I try and find ways to explain my anger against my Nigerian compatriot’s prophecy. I don’t have his means nor want the land to have a house in foreign lands. I am an ordinary villager. What will I do with the graves of the dear parents, sister, aunts, uncles and grandparents? If I were to go to a neighbouring country, who would look after them. How will our neighbours treat me? Will they mistake me for a South African who lynched them and stole their limited possessions as they faced accusations of job theft? Can I ever be employed in their countries with my funny-sounding name, whose choice of food, clothes, and music is a subject of ridicule by my own South Africans?

I didn’t take the Nigerian’s contact details nor remember his name. But I also know I don’t want to be anywhere except my beautiful, haunted South Africa. My only wish is to grow sufficient wisdom to tell “when the problems of the North are ABOUT to come down South”, not when they have arrived. Can you tell? Please don’t forget me.

I apologise, Ninger man.

 Love Always

 Africa Shall Rise.

 


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