Skip to main content

Making sense of the National State of Disaster. Si buka nje

    In her book Shock Doctrine The Rise of Disaster Capitalism, Naomi Klein introduces how conditions for shock therapy as an economic intervention could be created to create a context within which disaster capitalism could thrive. The mooted state of national disaster discussed by the governing African National Congress is one such mechanism to create conditions within which the 'shock doctrine' could predominate public policy interventions to deal with the 'apparent state of our energy disaster'. This rendition digs in. 

Shock therapy is a group of policies intended to be implemented simultaneously to liberalise the economy, including liberalisation of all prices, privatisation, and stabilisation via tight monetary and fiscal policies. Naomi argues that shock therapy "centres on the exploitation of national crises (disasters or similar) to establish controversial and questionable policies, while citizens are too distracted (emotionally and physically) to engage and develop an adequate response and resist effectively". She submits that some man-made calamities, such as the 'the manufactured energy disaster South Africa is facing', were allowed to reach current levels to push through unpopular policies in their wake. Acute in providing solutions is unbridled privatisation as a mission to deal with the provision of public services. The outcome of the shock doctrine is the introduction of disaster capitalism, which occurs when private interests descend on a particular economic sector in the wake of major destabilising events, such as war, government upheaval, and natural disaster, and in the case of South Africa, the compounding energy crises. 

 

As public policy changes to respond to the 'apparent disaster', the (policy) shift grants private providers a considerable windfall. Declaration of the state of national disaster shrinks the public accountability ecosystem and introduces a near martial law context of public governance. The state loses its strategic oversight role, as dealing with the catastrophe becomes a preoccupation within which non-altruistic profit motives predominate privatised public interventions. Disaster command centres will usurp established public procurement processes under the guise of reducing response turnaround times, abdicating the public dimension of policy, and handing over what would have otherwise been seen as the commanding heights of a developing economic system to non-vetted private sector interests. Whilst the conscience of society is generally tightly guarded by civil society movements, far too few of these movements demand transparency or challenge (disaster) capitalism, preferring to operate comfortably within it. As this public power abdication carelessness and cruelty, amplified through the corporate media, allows the private sector's social welfare consciousness deficient sections to misbehave against the poor rages, the concomitant erosion of democracy is met with barely a whimper from the political and media establishments.

 

With reduced space for public engagement on public policy in contexts of a state of national disaster, a compromised national legislature infrastructure, a shocked and begging for a solution to the economy and an opportunity wrecking electricity supply disaster, proponents of the 'private-sector-is-panacea' policy trajectory will have the upper hand. Consequently, the erosion of state-led democracy is met with barely a whimper from the political and media establishments. With the bulk of private capital in few hands, the risk of economic sovereignty rises commensurate with the appetite of local or domestic capital to take advantage of the private sector invites. 

 

Therefore, declaring a state of national disaster is plausible in the short-term view of energy security traumatised society. The truism that crisis is everywhere and impacts everyone imbued thinkers to ask more profound questions on the intent of usurping public power at a time strategic interventions to the energy crisis are on the nearest horizons. The inconsistencies of information on what to fix first have been disabled. This rendition argues that the governing ANC makes decisions and takes actions before it is even known whether the information at their disposal on the electricity supply matters is accurate. We should be wary of the governing ANC's potential to want to limit the period in which they are the focal point of the electricity supply woes at the expense of surrendering strategic assets such as ESKOM. We should instead demand that the "bottom line is the bottom line and needs to be delivered relentlessly to us as its core audiences with precision" and that the bottom line is 'switch-on-the-lights". 

 

Whilst it is plausible that the governing ANC is living up to its commitments on climate change, getting there might require taking strategic detours to sustain what we already have. "Goal-setting, despite its many benefits, has a troubling side. Goals become difficult to abandon, provide a handy language to justify undesirable action, lead to unintended consequences and, under some conditions, lead to unethical behaviour". We cannot, as a nation, obsess over goals that do not work for us. We equally cannot put off the reality of the present in hopes that achieving a future goal will eliminate current problems. The state of national disaster is, to the extent that engineers that worked at ESKOM argue it does not exist, an ill-conceived idea unless it is in the bouquet of the shock doctrine.

 

WHAT THE STATE OF NATIONAL DISASTER MEANS

The executive authority of the Republic vests in the President, who exercises it together with members of the Cabinet. Regarding national disaster, the executive authority is defined in the Disaster Management Act, Act 16 of 2005. The act is a mechanism to regulate processes in conditions created by pandemics, calamities, unprecedented crises, and natural disasters. The Act is an assigned function in the Constitution, drawing legitimacy from it. It provides for,

an integrated and coordinated disaster management policy that focuses on preventing or reducing the risk of disasters, mitigating the severity of disasters, emergency preparedness, rapid and effective response to disasters and post-disaster recovery; the establishment of national, provincial and municipal disaster management centers; disaster management volunteers; and matters incidental to it.

In its amended format, the Act, Act 16 of 2005, further provides for the South African National Defense Force, South African Police Service and any other organs of state,

to assist the disaster management structures; to provide for an extended reporting system by organs of state on information regarding occurrences leading to the declarations of disasters, expenditure on response and recovery, actions pertaining to risk reduction and particular problems experienced in dealing with disasters; to strengthen reporting on implementation of policy and legislation relating to disaster risk reduction and management of allocated funding to municipal and provincial intergovernmental forums established in terms of the Intergovernmental Relations Framework Act, 2005; to strengthen the representation of traditional leaders in national, provincial and municipal disaster management advisory forums; to expand the contents of disaster management plans to include the conducting of disaster risk assessments for functional areas and the mapping of risks, regions and communities that are vulnerable to disasters; to provide measures to reduce the risk of disaster through adaptation to climate change and developing of early warning mechanisms; to provide for regulations on disaster management education, training and research matters and declaration and classification of disasters.

As a mechanism to regulate all crisis interventions, the act assigns a broad definition of a disaster not only to mean sudden occurrence which causes disease and disruption of a community but to articulate its magnitude in respect of how it exceeds the ability of the affected to cope with its effects. It allocates the responsibility to intervene in a continuous, integrated and multi-sectoral, as well as establish a multi-disciplinary process of planning and implementing measures aimed at preventing or reducing risks, mitigating severity, providing for emergency preparedness, and post-disaster recovery and rehabilitation. Given that the ANC, in its wisdom, characterised the electricity supply problem by ESKOM, and thus ESKOM, as a ‘national crisis, energy insecurity is effectively characterised as being unprecedented and possessing an ‘ANC-seen’ unique newness, its demand on the Disaster Management Act, as amended, procures for a mechanism that integrates the emergency character of the crisis with the exigencies of a disaster.

Consequently, President Ramaphosa will then opt for the Disaster Management Act as an enabling legislative framework to regulate and guide the ESKOM crisis response, which might be a sheer vote of no confidence in the ability of the National Executive in its current configuration to solve the crisis. Operating through and within this act would have several implications that profoundly impact the country’s governance during and beyond the ESKOM crisis. The electricity supply crisis has thus far exposed massive shortcomings in local, provincial, and local governance systems. The existing regulatory framework with which interventions should be procured is integrative enough to allow decentralised responses by spheres of government whilst maintaining their distinct operational form and nature. The current crisis should have been managed to be one of the few contexts with which government would test President Ramaphosa’s District Development Approach or Model, and thus South Africa’s intergovernmental relations system and systems.

It is a pity that a national disaster through the Disaster Management Act had to be activated to trigger all state actions to respond to the electricity supply management and maintenance challenges. Accordingly, Section 23 (i) of the Disaster Management Act provides that when a disastrous event occurs or threatens to occur, the National Disaster Management Centre must, for the proper application of the Act, determine whether the event should be regarded as a disaster in terms of the Act. The National Disaster Management Centre has to classify the disaster as national, provincial and local. Once it is classified as such, the act provides for the designation of ‘primary responsibility to a particular sphere of government for the coordination and management of the disaster, but an organ of state in another sphere may assist the sphere having primary responsibility to deal with the disaster and its consequences’. This process vests in the technical domain of the disaster management discipline and is thus executed by the Head of the National Disaster Management Centre, an appointed government official based on his skills and expertise.

Having assessed the potential magnitude and severity of the ‘now in-ANC, and dare I say, DA defined’ ESKOM disaster, the Head of the National Disaster Management Centre, will then have to classify it and follow through with processes to set in motion a disaster management plan. Management prudence might direct the Head of the Disaster Management Centre to designate the co-ordination to the President as Head of State and head of the National Executive. This will work notwithstanding the responsibility and de facto executive authority vesting in the COGTA minister. The Minister of Minerals and Energy will be effectively disabled to deal with the ESKOM crisis and indirectly self-suspending the resolution to have SOEs managed by departments. CUT#.


🤷🏿‍♂️Shock mihleketo 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

The revolution can't breathe; it is incomplete.

Only some political revolutions get to be completed. Because all revolutions end up with a settlement by elites and incumbents, they have become an outcome of historical moment-defined interests and less about the actual revolution. This settlement often involves a power-sharing agreement among the ruling elites and the incumbent government, which may not fully address the revolutionary goals. When the new power relations change, the new shape they take almost always comes with new challenges. As the quest for political power surpasses that of pursuing social and economic justice, alliances formed on the principles of a national revolution suffocate.    The ANC-led tripartite alliance's National Democratic Revolution is incomplete. The transfer of the totality of the power it sought to achieve still needs to be completed. While political power is arguably transferred, the checks and balances which the settlement has entrenched in the constitutional order have made the transfer...

The Ngcaweni and Mathebula conversation. On criticism as Love and disagreeing respectfully.

Busani Ngcaweni wrote about criticism and Love as a rendition to comrades and Comrades. His rendition triggered a rejoinder amplification of its validity by introducing  a dimension of disagreeing respectfully. This is a developing conversation and could trigger other rejoinders. The decision to think about issues is an event. Thinking is a process in a continuum of idea generation. Enjoy our first grins and bites; see our teeth. Busani Ngcaweni writes,   I have realised that criticism is neither hatred, dislike, embarrassment, nor disapproval. Instead, it is an expression of Love, hope, and elevated expectation—hope that others can surpass our own limitations and expectation that humanity might achieve greater heights through others.   It is often through others that we project what we aspire to refine and overcome. When I criticise you, I do not declare my superiority but believe you can exceed my efforts and improve.   Thus, when we engage in critici...

The ANC succession era begins.

  The journey towards the 16th of December 2027 ANC National Elective Conference begins in December 2024 at the four influential regions of Limpopo Province. With a 74% outcome at the 2024 National and Provincial elections, which might have arguably saved the ANC from garnering the 40% saving grace outcome, Limpopo is poised to dictate the cadence of who ultimately succeeds Cyril Ramaphosa, the outgoing ANC President.  The ANC faces one of its existential resilience-defining sub-national conferences since announcing its inarguably illusive and ambitious renewal programme. Never has it faced a conference with weakened national voter support, an emboldened opposition complex that now has a potential alternative to itself in the MK Party-led progressive caucus and an ascending substrate of the liberal order defending influential leaders within its ranks. The ideological contest between the left and right within the ANC threatens the disintegration of its electora...