Published in the BusinessDay of 23 April 2025
The ensemble that the tariff wars have lurched global trade into chaos might have rewritten how smart democracies should deal with geopolitics. The new foreign policy theorems of transactional international relations are starting to procure private C-suites as the global trade-facing brigades for countries to define trade and diplomatic ties. The appointment of Mcebisi Jonas as one of the comprehensive C-suite is, in conceptual terms, one of a string of innovative interventions by President Cyril Ramaphosa, highlighting the crucial role of the private sector in shaping international trade.
There may be challenges or personality deficiencies. Still, getting those at the
touchpoints where it matters in geopolitics and international trade should be
welcomed. In any event, the G20 conversations and trade protocols that will be
signed at the ultimate summit are currently in the domain of private sector C-suites from different democracies. Special envoys from various G20 countries have landed on our shores, and the transaction-intensive G20 negotiations are yielding new and multilaterally beneficial responses to the new geopolitical order.
The rise of trade-centric
international relations, a result of countries' growing appetite for markets, is rewriting the diplomatic playbook.
This new normative framework is based on the bottom-line considerations that
guide private sector decision-making. Power is no longer solely about a
nation's self-perception and national identity, but also about its position in
the trade balance with other nations. The global pecking order is increasingly
determined by productivity and trade indices, making hard power less relevant.
One of the dividends of
a globalised world and value chain-driven international trade is that
corporations have increasingly become both the objects and instruments of
foreign policy. Consider the protection and promotion of national sovereignty
and constitutional order, the well-being, safety, and prosperity of citizens,
and a better world and Africa as part of the strategic canvas of South African
corporations in how they interact with their counterparts, while being bottom-line facing. Taken to its logical conclusion, the national and bottom-line
convergence of interests, driven by skin-in-the-game-inspired C-suites, will
yield better international trade transactions than deep-state or otherwise
bureaucrats incentivised by gladiatorial geopolitical considerations, offering
hope for the future of trade negotiations.
The dualisation of
international relations and cooperation through the infusion of private sector C-suites
in the representative architecture of diplomats is long overdue in South
Africa. Given the ownership demographics in the economy, those feeling the pinch
of the tariff wars, on both sides of the country, tensions would be better suited
to transact as they renegotiate trading protocols. South Africa should not
forget that it was only when its political settlement started to make business
sense that it found the required traction. The ping-pong tariffs between the US and China increase and decrease are driven by market pragmatism rather than
the political whims of the competing geopolitical context.
It is inarguable that
individual corporate actors, whose interests do not always align with those of
their governments because they often possess an informational advantage over
the public sector, drive critical trade variables such as unit price
determination. Given that price is an expression of all value inputs in a
product, including national pride, geopolitical positioning, and market
reconfigurations, C-suites conclude transactions with a level of sophistication scarcely found
in the public sector.
The Trump
administration, with all its discontents, has opened up the veil of where true
international relations happen: the corporate boardrooms. It is the brazen way
that Trump has made international agreements that amount to deal-making
conducted in the proverbial city hall. The public service function is upended
in global trade and cooperation. State capability is extended, potentially
without the permission of public service authorities and scholars.
Although the Mcebisi
Jonas appointment is not new, given that President Ramaphosa served in the
Commonwealth Business Council while he was in his 'proverbial deployment', it
is a resurgence of RSA and significantly new political establishment c-suite
influence on international trade and cooperation. This time, it is open. It is
an opportunity to mainstream what various trading associations have been
operating outside of, into the national economic transformation
dialogue.
For the RSA government,
establishing regular consultations with the private sector, providing financial
support for industry expertise, and enhancing economic intelligence would be
constructive initial steps. More fundamentally, policymakers must pledge to
adopt a significantly different mindset regarding the private sector. The
domains of influence are naturally separate. In a context where meritorious
public service commissioning is gaining traction, templates for cadre deployment
are fracturing, and coalition governments are becoming a growing reality, the Mcebisi
appointment phenomenon may be redefining the politics of deep state
configuration.
Once more, necessity
spurred pragmatism. The President Ramaphosa leadership cohort responded more to
posterity than to the exigencies of the now. It would be prudent to take the
same approach to mending the fragile RSA-Israeli relations. A Special Envoy
from the private sector should be deployed now, as US-RSA relations are a
dimension of the RSA-Israeli relations.
Comments
Post a Comment